Re: The War - Analysis + Poll !
Well, As far as i can tell, the alliance will win.
Mostly because Kabuto has given every indication that he will betray Akatsuki. Kabuto betraying Akatsuki is especially bad if you consider that Nagato is currently the individual synced to Gedo Mazo, so technically akatsuki doesn't control the 7 bijuu, Kabuto does.
The only problem I see is that the alliance will not hold up. I suspect that some of the other villages will double cross the alliance and join Akatsuki.
Madara Uchiha was Mizukage at some point, so it's possible that Kirigakure's ultimate loyalty lies with their one time Mizukage.
Iwagakure's loyalty is also in question. It seems that only the good will of the Tsuchikage is what's causing this village to cooperate, and without him, it's not exactly clear whether this would continue to be the case.
At this point, the alliance may just be Konoha, Suna, and Kumo. Konoha and Suna working as a team may be a considerably potent combination, though I suspect some shinanigans. There's probably a reason that Kumo doesn't have any representative missing-nin in Akatsuki. It's possible that Akatsuki has some trump card that will specifically eliminate them from the alliance.